Idan aka waiwaya baya a shekarar 2023, gaba dayan ayyukan tattalin arzikin duniya ya yi rauni, tare da kyakkyawan fata da raunin gaskiya a kasuwannin cikin gida suna yin karo da juna.An ci gaba da sakin ƙarfin samar da ƙarfe, kuma buƙatun ƙasa gabaɗaya ya yi rauni.Bukatar waje ta yi fiye da buƙatar gida, kuma farashin ƙarfe ya nuna yanayin tashi da faɗuwa, canzawa da ƙasa.
Bi da bi, a cikin kwata na farko na 2023, rigakafi da sarrafa COVID-19 za a canza su lafiya, kuma tsammanin macro zai yi kyau, yana haɓaka farashin ƙarfe;A cikin kwata na biyu, rikicin bashi na Amurka ya bayyana, tattalin arzikin cikin gida ya yi rauni, sabanin wadata da bukatu ya karu, sannan farashin karafa ya yi kasa;A cikin kwata na uku, wasan tsakanin tsammanin tsammanin da raunin gaskiya ya karu, kuma kasuwar karafa ta yi rauni;A cikin kwata na huɗu, tsammanin macro ya inganta, haɓaka kudade, samar da ƙarfe ya ragu, tallafin farashi ya ragu, kuma farashin ƙarfe ya fara komawa.
A shekarar 2023, matsakaicin matsakaicin farashin karafa a kasar Sin ya kai yuan/ton 4452, raguwar yuan/ton 523 daga matsakaicin farashin yuan/ton 4975 a shekarar 2022. An samu raguwar farashin kowace shekara daga babba zuwa karami. , ciki har da sashe karfe, karfe na musamman, sandunan karfe, faranti mai kauri, samfurori masu zafi, da samfurori masu sanyi.
Gabaɗaya, a cikin 2023, kasuwar ƙarfe a China za ta fi nuna halaye masu zuwa:
Da fari dai, gaba ɗaya samar da ƙarfe ya kasance mai girma.Bisa kididdigar da hukumar kididdiga ta kasar Sin ta fitar, daga watan Janairu zuwa Nuwamba na shekarar 2023, yawan danyen karafa na kasar Sin ya kai tan miliyan 952.14, wanda ya karu da kashi 1.5 cikin dari a duk shekara;Abubuwan da aka tara na baƙin ƙarfe na alade ya kai ton miliyan 810.31, karuwar shekara-shekara na 1.8%;Yawan samar da karafa ya kai tan miliyan 1252.82, wanda ya karu da kashi 5.7 cikin dari a duk shekara.An kiyasta cewa a shekarar 2023, danyen karafa na kasar Sin zai kai tan biliyan 1.03, wanda ya karu da kashi 1.2 cikin dari a duk shekara.
Na biyu, gagarumin karuwar fitar da karafa zuwa kasashen waje ya zama mabuɗin daidaita wadatar da buƙatun cikin gida.A cikin 2023, akwai gagarumin fa'ida a cikin farashin ƙarfe na cikin gida da isassun oda a ƙasashen waje, wanda ya haifar da haɓakar ƙarar fitarwa.Bisa kididdigar da hukumar kwastam ta kasar Sin ta fitar, daga watan Janairu zuwa Nuwamba na shekarar 2023, kasar Sin ta fitar da tan miliyan 82.66 na karafa, wanda ya karu da kashi 35.6 cikin dari a duk shekara.Kungiyar masana'antun karafa ta kasar Sin ta yi hasashen cewa karafa da kasar Sin za ta fitar za ta haura tan miliyan 90 a duk shekarar 2023.
A sa'i daya kuma, nau'o'in nau'ikan karafa masu inganci da araha na kasar Sin suna tallafawa masana'antu na kasa da kasa don shiga gasar kasa da kasa, kana manyan masana'antun ke fitar da karafa a kaikaice.An kiyasta cewa a shekarar 2023, adadin karafa da kasar Sin za ta fitar a kaikaice zai kai tan miliyan 113.
Na uku, buƙatu na ƙasa gabaɗaya ba ta da ƙarfi.A shekarar 2023, tattalin arzikin kasar Sin zai sake farfadowa a hankali, amma CPI (Indexididdigar farashin kayayyaki) da PPI (ƙididdigar farashin masana'antu na samfuran masana'antu) za su ci gaba da yin aiki a ƙaramin mataki, kuma haɓakar jarin kafaffen kadarori, zuba jarin kayayyakin more rayuwa da zuba jarin masana'antu. zama in mun gwada da ƙasa.Wannan ya shafa, gabaɗayan buƙatun ƙarfe a cikin 2023 zai yi rauni fiye da na shekarun baya.An yi kiyasin cewa a shekarar 2023, yawan danyen karafa a kasar Sin ya kai tan miliyan 920, wanda a duk shekara ya ragu da kashi 2.2%.
Na hudu, ayyukan tsadar kayayyaki ya haifar da koma baya ga ribar kamfanonin karafa.Ko da yake farashin kwal da coke sun ragu a shekarar 2023, kamfanonin karafa gabaɗaya suna fuskantar matsanancin tsadar tsadar kayayyaki saboda ci gaba da aiki da farashin ƙarfe.Bayanai sun nuna cewa ya zuwa karshen shekarar 2023, matsakaicin kudin narkakken karafa na kamfanonin karafa na cikin gida ya karu da yuan/ton 264 idan aka kwatanta da daidai lokacin a shekarar 2022, tare da karuwar kashi 9.21%.Sakamakon ci gaba da raguwar farashin karafa da tsadar kayayyaki, ribar kamfanonin karafa ta ragu matuka.A shekarar 2023, ribar tallace-tallace ta masana'antar karafa ta kasance a matakin kasa na manyan masana'antun masana'antu, kuma yankin asara na masana'antu ya ci gaba da fadada.Bisa kididdigar da kungiyar karafa ta yi, a kashi uku na farkon shekarar 2023, muhimman alkaluma sun nuna cewa, kudaden shigar da kamfanonin karafa ke samu sun kai yuan triliyan 4.66, raguwar kashi 1.74% a duk shekara;Kudin gudanar da aiki ya kai yuan tiriliyan 4.39, an samu raguwar kashi 0.61 bisa dari a duk shekara, kuma raguwar kudaden shigar da aka samu ya kai kashi 1.13 bisa na raguwar farashin aiki;Jimillar ribar da aka samu ta kai yuan biliyan 62.1, an samu raguwar kashi 34.11% a duk shekara;Ribar tallace-tallace ta kasance 1.33%, raguwar kashi 0.66 a kowace shekara.
Ƙarfe na zamantakewar al'umma ya kasance koyaushe
Lokacin aikawa: Janairu-23-2024